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East-West Debt march 2003 news, update : NIGERIA


Nigeria

The Nigerian economy faces enormous challenges. Nigeria's budget deficit reached 4.9% of GDP in 2002 and its economy shrank by 0.9%. To make matters worse, Nigeria pulled out of a monitoring program with the IMF in March 2002 after the IMF advised the government to curb spending.

In order to meet enormous challenges, it will be critical for Nigeria to strengthen economic policies, avoid macroeconomic instability, and contain the fiscal deficit in the period to The present value of long- the upcoming elections in April 2003. The Central Bank also has to stand ready to tighten the monetary policy.

Additionally, Nigeria needs to prepare the way for a medium-term debt restructuring. The IMF is concerned about Nigeria's build up of arrears to bilateral official creditors and urges the government to make timely debt payments and to conclude Paris Club bilateral agreements with no further delay. There are a few bright spots in the Nigerian economy though.

Progress has been noted in privatization, which still requires more transparency and less political interference, and in the exchange rate policy, which is now becoming market-oriented. A big step ahead is the creation of a firm institution network and the implementation of various legal reforms. Another positive sign is a pick-up in non-oil economic growth. Although the economy contracted 0.9% in 2002, non-oil real gross domestic product grew by 5.3%.


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